ABCDEFGHIJKLMNO
1Main
2RulingPharmAthene is entitled to a lump sum damage award in a still unspecified amount, with interest and fees, based on U. S. Government purchases of SIGA's smallpox drug supposedly anticipated in 2006.
3The total award is likely to be substantial, but it will not be established until after the Court considers calculations to be provided by a designated expert.
4
5Govt contracts through 2005NIH grants (Aug 2004)11.1
6(smallpox)NIH (prior to 2003)1.1
7US Army Medical Research (Sep 2005)3.2
8US Army Medical Research Dec 2002)1.6
917
10
11The Department of Homeland Security appropriation bill signed by President Bush on October 1, 2003 created a discretionary reserve of $5.6B to fund Project BioShield
12$3.4B over first 5 years, $2.2B over next 5 years
13The Congressional Budget Office reported that the DHS projects acquisition of 60M doses of new Smallpox vaccines over 3 years, beginning 2005
14CBO reports that the DHS will spend an additional $1B to replace expired stocks in 2007-2013
15Federal govt committed to $9B research spend in 2006
16
17Based on govt contract:
18BARDA contract (5/13/11)435
19% to PharmAthene0.5
20Interest rate (inc fees)0.03
21Lump sum payment275.52249270180647
22
23Based on expert model:
24200720082009201020112012201320142015
25Units2.9806492.9806492.9806492.9806492.980649
26Price100103106.09109.2727112.550881
27Revenues298.0649307.006847316.21705241325.7035639823335.474670901769Success prob.0.84
28COGS44.70973546.05102704999999547.432557861548.85553459734550.32120063526535COGS0.15
29Gross Profit253.35516500000003260.95581995268.7844945485276.848029384955285.15347026650363Op Exp0.2
30Op Exp59.6129800000000161.401369463.24341048265.1407127964600167.0949341803538Tax rate0.35
31Operating income193.742185199.55445054999998205.5410840665211.707316588495218.05853608614984Discount0.2331
32Taxes67.8097647569.8440576924999971.9393794232749974.0975608059732576.32048763015244NPV367.92261948356696
33Net income125.93242025129.71039285749998133.601704643225137.60975578252175141.7380484559974Risk adj. NPV309.0550003661962
34Int rate0.03
35Award391.5016279671361